r/worldnews – The British flagged ‘Stena Impero’ tanker has taken a very sudden turn into Iranian waters despite her original destination being Saudi Arabia, according to data relayed by maritime tracking services.

Well… we keep inching closer and closer to a shooting war with these idiots, and I don’t think many on either side think it will go well. Yet, the tensions in general, our (US) lack of singular leadership and an appointed DOD head keep flailing, and the Iranians are downright in a corner here. Their

Well… we keep inching closer and closer to a shooting war with these idiots, and I don’t think many on either side think it will go well. Yet, the tensions in general, our (US) lack of singular leadership and an appointed DOD head keep flailing, and the Iranians are downright in a corner here. Their economy and domestic restlessness means they can’t possibly be seen as weak or hesitant, and their decades of rhetoric and support of terrorism really makes it even harder. Still, they want asymmetric warfare, not to present the US (and by extension Israel) the excuse to start assassinating their leadership and bombing them outright. It wouldn’t be much of a fight to be honest, but the fallout would be immense for everyone involved.

Iran has Hezbollah, they have tentacles in Hamas, in Lebanon, Bahrain, and Yemen. These are the people who trained and supported Imad Mugniyeh for so long until the Israelis finally took him out. While we’d easily win the conventional war, we’d be facing an organized insurgency led by well-armed, well-trained, and well-practiced fanatics who think a martyr’s death is an acceptable outcome.

The IRGC is an unpleasant group, and through them Hezbollah is as well. We’d have to brace up for a long time over that, or be ruthless in a way the public would simply not support. It’s a quagmire that would make Iraq look pleasant by comparison, and it would be extinction for the Iranian leadership and hope for a stable future.

All told, the only thing sadder than the prospect of an all-out war here, is the almost suicidal inevitability of it due to political and social pressures from both sides. We’ve cornered the rat, now what do we do with it? I hope we’ve learned something from every war since Vietnam, but I worry that we haven’t.

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